With a two week ceasefire underway, I’m bringing back War Strategy Expert Robert Pape to help us understand what could happen next…
I had Robert on the show last month, and over 7 million people watched that conversation. But as the situation has evolved, I felt there was more we needed to understand.
For those who don’t know him, Robert is a political scientist who has spent decades studying how wars actually unfold, advising governments and building models to understand what drives escalation and how conflicts evolve over time.
In our last conversation, he explained why bombing campaigns don’t end wars and why they often pull countries deeper into them.
Now, he’s looking at the current situation, and what becomes clear very quickly is this:
What’s being described as a “ceasefire” hasn’t actually resolved anything. The underlying incentives, the power dynamics, and the conditions that led to escalation are all still in place.
We spoke about:
- What does this ceasefire actually change?
- What are the real risks if things get worse?
- Who is actually gaining influence as this plays out?
- What are we not being told or not seeing clearly?
Robert made some predictions in our first conversation and many of them have come true already which makes what he’s saying now much harder to ignore.
What I admire about Robert is that he put a lot of time into explaining the current world situation into layman's terms so people like me can really understand. What he said has really helped turn the lights on for me to see what’s happening right in front of our eyes.
If you want to better understand what’s actually happening right now, and what could come next, this episode is worth your time.
I had Robert on the show last month, and over 7 million people watched that conversation. But as the situation has evolved, I felt there was more we needed to understand.
For those who don’t know him, Robert is a political scientist who has spent decades studying how wars actually unfold, advising governments and building models to understand what drives escalation and how conflicts evolve over time.
In our last conversation, he explained why bombing campaigns don’t end wars and why they often pull countries deeper into them.
Now, he’s looking at the current situation, and what becomes clear very quickly is this:
What’s being described as a “ceasefire” hasn’t actually resolved anything. The underlying incentives, the power dynamics, and the conditions that led to escalation are all still in place.
We spoke about:
- What does this ceasefire actually change?
- What are the real risks if things get worse?
- Who is actually gaining influence as this plays out?
- What are we not being told or not seeing clearly?
Robert made some predictions in our first conversation and many of them have come true already which makes what he’s saying now much harder to ignore.
What I admire about Robert is that he put a lot of time into explaining the current world situation into layman's terms so people like me can really understand. What he said has really helped turn the lights on for me to see what’s happening right in front of our eyes.
If you want to better understand what’s actually happening right now, and what could come next, this episode is worth your time.